Intrikata Stack guide · package 1.7.1
AWITS v3.2 — published public-proxy forecast
AWITS v3.2 — published public-proxy forecast
Live product: areweinthesingularity.com · alias awits.intrikata.com Machine receipts: /demo/awits-v32-live.json · /demo/awits-rdgap-capability-impl.json Historical path (now mirrors v3.2): /demo/awits-forward-stress-withheld.json Claim token: operational-occurrence-claim-and-forward-projections-definitional-undecidable Model: v3.2-live-authority-forward-occurrence-2026-08-23 Decision authority: v3.2 (hysteresis exit 65 / entry 70 — not lowered)
v3.2 is the live scorer and decision authority. It publishes 7/30/90-day public-proxy envelopes and an operational occurrence claim. Reverse-time lookbacks remain the dual of those envelopes. Reverse-topo still slots public AWITS sections into M/G/S/MGS.
This is not a singularity probability. Definitional occurrence remains UNDECIDABLE (T-DEFINITIONAL). Distance to the Tarski limit remains UNDECIDABLE. singularityDeclared is not set.
Published 7/30/90 envelopes (as of 2026-08-21)
| Horizon | Low | Median | High | Resolves |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 43.5 | 49 | 55 | 2026-08-30 |
| 30d | 41.8 | 49 | 58 | 2026-09-22 |
| 90d | 36.8 | 49 | 63 | 2026-11-21 |
Envelopes are 80% adaptive-prequential ranges around the public-proxy stress index. Skill status remains persistence-baseline-only. The target is the same versioned public-proxy index, not a singularity occurrence label.
Occurrence claim
| Layer | Claim |
|---|---|
| Operational | not-occurred — finalized exact-basket residuals established stress-inactive under v3 hysteresis 65/70. Decision score 49. |
| Definitional | occurred=null · residual T-DEFINITIONAL |
| Public claim | not-occurred-under-operational-criterion |
| Is singularity probability | false |
Absence of proxy stress is not definitional proof the singularity is absent.
37 R&D workstream probes
Live /api/rdgap-topology capabilityImplementationReport:
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Probes passed | 37 / 37 |
| Claim | workstream-probes-implemented-not-frontier-capabilities |
| Decidable / semi / Tarski | 8 / 17 / 12 |
| Snapshot-bound / uncovered-named / tarski-named | 10 / 15 / 12 |
| Frontier capability | not-claimed on every row |
| Direct readiness | unmeasured on every row; necessity weight 0 |
| Attention necessity | 0 |
Passing a public-proxy probe is not completing the frontier capability. Catalog claim remains candidate-research-workstreams-not-completed-frontier-capabilities.
Reverse-time lookbacks (realized past, not the forward range)
| Lookback | Observations | Min | Mean | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 5 | 46 | 48.8 | 51 |
| 30d | 22 | 42 | 48.1 | 53 |
| 90d | 62 | 42 | 48.2 | 55 |
One-day reverse-topo next-step (as of 2026-08-20 → 2026-08-21): predicted 49, envelope 45.08–51.92.
What remains named / not claimed
| Object | Public? |
|---|---|
| Forward 7/30/90 public-proxy envelopes | yes (v3.2) |
| Reverse-time realized lookbacks | yes |
| Operational occurrence under 65/70 | yes — not-occurred |
| Numeric distance to Tarski limit | no — UNDECIDABLE |
| Definitional singularity occurrence | no — T-DEFINITIONAL |
| Frontier capability completion | no — not-claimed |
| Direct readiness | no — unmeasured |